Author Archives: Mike Elgan

Why Apple Can’t Be Trusted with the App Store

Nigella for iPad_screenThe eBook publishing price-fixing scandal raised its fugly head again this week when the US Justice Department filed documents in advance of the June 3 trial in New York.

Among those documents was a series of emails and documents in which eBook pricing strategy and tactics are discussed.

An email from late founder and CEO Steve Jobs to News Corporation’s James Murdoch got all the attention. (The email itself was harmless but parts of it printed out of context sounded vaguely conspiratorial and old-boys clubbish.)

To me, the scandal is buried in those emails and testimony records. We learned that Apple used its control over app approvals to exert pressure on companies for reasons totally unrelated to the apps.

Does this bother you? It should.

When Apple was negotiating with Random House and the companies were disagreeing about pricing, Jobs threatened the publisher’s CEO by saying they would “suffer a loss of support from Apple” if the company continued to resist Apple’s terms, according to that CEO. Two months later, the CEO said that Apple threatened to block an eBook application by Random House because they had not reached a deal. (I don’t know if that book was Nigella’s Quick Collection, pictured, but that is a Random House title.)

A subsequent email sent by Eddy Cue to Jobs said that Random House agreed to Apple’s terms in part because Cue “prevented an app from Random House from going live in the app store.”

(Ironically, I believe these emails are part of Apple’s defense to show that its relationships with publishers was contentious rather than conspiratorial.)

If court documents are portraying this accurately, it means that in 2010, at least, Apple was willing to use its control over the app store to give the company an unfair advantage in unrelated business deals.

Apple’s History of Arbitrary App Store Decisions

Some blocking of apps is more legitimate — or, at least, determined by published rules. For example, Apple banned a DUI checkpoint finding app a couple years ago. This violated a very specific section of the Apple guidelines that flat out say that DUI checkpoint apps will be rejected. Fair enough.

The controversial removal by Apple of T&C’s AppGratis from the App Store last month was also probably justifiable.

(Apple not only removed the app, they also pulled the plug on the app’s push notifications to people who had previously installed the app.)

Though critics accused Apple of stifling an alternative view to the App Store, Apple said the app violated two of its terms of service. For a fee, the company would promote a developer’s app by giving apps free or offering in-app content free. This directly violates the App Store requirements around app promotions and direct-marketing push notifications.

Still, the banning caused an international incident. France’s minister for the digital economy (why does the digital economy need a “minister”?), named Fleur Pellerin, slammed Apple in a tweet that falsely said “plenty of apps similar to AppGratis remain” in the App Store. Her involvement has also been criticized as harmful to the very “digital economy” French taxpayers are paying her to boost.

Other app removals exist in a gray area where it appears that Apple just doesn’t like the sound or intent of apps, and pulls them arbitrarily.

Apple this week removed the Bang With Friends app, which existed to enable users to proposition people they follow on Facebook to find out if they are “down to bang.”

Essentially, it works like this: You scan your Facebook friends and choose the ones you would like to “bang.” These choices remain private. But when someone on your “down to bang” list puts you on their “down to bang” list, you’re both notified of this mutually assured attraction.

As far as I can tell, the pulling of this app is arbitrary. I’m guessing Apple just doesn’t like the sound of it.

I would be surprised if Apple considered as one of its corporate missions the need to prevent people from having sex with each other, or the use of apps for people to discover that they are attracted to each other.

I suspect that the baby boomers who run Apple just find language commonly used by millennials in poor taste.

Is a generation gap a good reason to exert their control over an ecosystem?

Apple, in fact, has a long history of banning apps based on them being in poor taste.

An app called iBoobs was banned, even though there was no nudity in it. The app showed a cartoon clothed upper torso of a woman. By shaking the app, the breasts jiggled. So what’s the rule here: You can show female bodies as long as they’re not in motion?

Another banned app showed perfectly static women as Apple prefers, but as part of a strip poker game called Video Strip Poker. They never got naked in the game. Apple doesn’t have a categorical ban on bikinis or underwear. But showing a progression from clothed to underwear was something Apple just didn’t like the idea of, so it was banned.

Another app called I Am Rich was banned by Apple. The app did almost nothing and cost $1,000. The whole point was that the high cost of the app itself was supposed to be a status symbol.

Why Apple Needs Principles and Rules Governing the App Store

Some say Apple’s 30% cut is an outrageously high percentage for apps and content.

Others, such as the Justice Department and the actual eBooks monopoly, Amazon, say Apple’s agency model for books is problematic.

I say both of these charges are baloney. Apple distributes free apps for free and charges what the market will bear for distributing paid apps. The agency model is one in which publishers set the prices and everybody gets paid (including the authors with enough money for the editors, the designers and, yes, the distributor). And when people get paid, books are better. In any event, Apple’s agency model is better than Amazon’s wholesale model, which lets Amazon sell below cost to drive competitors out of the market and take pricing control away from authors and publishers.

I also don’t mind Apple’s strict, somewhat puritanical rules for banning certain apps, because at least they’re published rules which app and content creators can consider in advance before exhausting their resources.

What we should all be bothered by, however, are arbitrary, self-serving abuses of the power Apple wields to pick and choose which apps it likes or doesn’t like or — worst of all — to use its control of the App Store to force business partners to capitulate in negotiations.

If Apple wants to be a standard, global agent for content, we need to trust them. And for us to trust them, they’ve got to earn our trust by creating a rule-governed, level playing field.

In other words, the use of Apple’s platform for content distribution should be a partnership where both parties are bound by agreed-upon rules, not a content dictatorship that functions according to Apple’s whim.

When every other company, such as Google, Facebook or Microsoft publishes policies and user agreements and then violates them, everybody is outraged. So where’s the outrage about Apple’s flagrant and arbitrary control of the App Store?

I think it’s time for Tim Cook to set this right. Yes, the company should make rules for content distribution on its iTunes and iBooks networks.

But just as we content creators follow those rules, so should Apple.

 

    



How Wearable Computing Will Change Everything, Including Apple

iwatch

Listen, you tech-savvy, trend-resisting cynic you. I want you to stop dismissing wearable computing as a pointless, narcissistic fad.

Wearable computing is not for people too lazy to look at their phones. It’s not a trendy toy for wealthy yuppies. And it’s not about joining Robert Scoble in the shower.

What you need to know is this: Wearable computing is the next evolution of consumer electronics. And it changes everything for everyone and not just the people actually wearing the computing.

And it will change Apple, too. Here’s how.

Wearable computing will change the world just as smartphones did.

Ten years ago, hardly anyone had smartphones. And nobody thought smartphones would transform consumer technology and human culture. Smartphones were viewed as an overpriced, faddish toy for geek extremists.

Sound familiar?

More to the point, smartphones changed things even for holdouts who never got a smartphone.

Take online social interaction. Somebody with a Facebook account but no smartphone would see their social streams evolving because other people had smartphones with apps, GPS and cameras in them.

Expectations about navigating in your car, taking pictures, posting, responding and sharing while away from your desk changed. The holdouts couldn’t escape these expectations, only disappoint them.

Smartphones changed everything for everybody and the cynicism and ignorance about smartphones that existed in 2003 was short-sighted and misguided.

And the same is true about wearable computing today. Instead of resisting, dismissing and denouncing wearable computing, it’s time to accept and understand it.

What Wearable Computing Is Really All About

There’s an invisible bubble that surrounds us. Everything inside that bubble is “me.” Everything outside that bubble is “not me.”

Clothing, glasses, jewelry, medical devices, tattoos, hearing aids and other such things are products you buy. But when you wear them, they’re inside the “me” bubble. They’re part of who and what we are.

Smartphones are compelling in part because they exist right at the surface of that bubble. They’re both “me” and “not me” at the same time.

Wearable computing is about bringing the Internet fully inside the “me” bubble.

No, not the whole Internet. There isn’t enough room.

Wearable computing will be about bringing three aspects of the Internet into the “me” bubble:

1. Notifications

2. Virtual assistance

3. Communication

In a nutshell, wearable computing will change how each of these three things function, and for everybody. Not just people wearing computing. And it will change Apple, too.

1. Notifications

You’ll notice that Apple, Google, Facebook and everybody else has been focusing on getting notifications right. You’ve got a text message. Your friend is in town. You’d better leave within the next 10 minutes or you’ll be late for your meeting. Our computers or phones make a noise and we get updated.

Apple’s upcoming iWatch will almost certainly relay iPhone Notification Center alerts to your wrist.

The Notification Centers on OS X and iPhone are designed to stay out of the way. On the iWatch, they’ll be the main event, constantly informing you about breaking news, weather and stocks (if you choose), incoming messages and social media activity and the status of your stuff (your iPhone’s battery is about to die, etc.)

Apple has everything it needs to implement Notifications Center on the iWatch.

2. Virtual assistance

I believe Apple bought Siri specifically to prepare for the wearable computing revolution. Instead of searching Google Search for answers to your questions, Siri is a virtual human you talk to and who ultimately will proactively give you information and suggestions.

This is a necessity for wearable computing, because all currently conceivable wearable computing scenarios involve limited screen space. Voice and artificial intelligence together are the “killer app” for wearable computing.

I expect you’ll be able to tap the watch and chat with Siri just like you do today on your iPhone. In fact, your voice will be simply relayed to the phone and thence to remote servers for the processing. The results will come back to the watch.

Apple has everything it needs to implement Siri virtual assistance on an iWatch.

3. Communication

The evolution of various messaging applications have clouded our thinking. It’s better just to describe how people are communicating.

Communication can be text, pictures, voice or videos. It can be instant or asynchronous. It can be private, semi-private or public. It can be on-on-one, one-to-many or many-to-many.

The coming wearable computing revolution is squeezing all these options into single messaging applications, whether you wear computing or not.

This week, Google is probably going to roll out a feature either branded or code-named Google Babel — or it may be branded Hangouts, conceived of as a newly flexible upgrade to Google’s social group video chat service.

Babel is probably a fancy rollup of every messaging thing Google makes (with Voice integration to come later). It will not only integrate services, but allow them to interoperate — conversations will probably be easy to move from text to voice to video and back and, at the end, conversants can choose to post the whole thing on Google+.

Let’s be clear about this: Google is integrating these apps for Google Glass. But the communication habits of non-Glass users will be transformed by it as well.

Google has everything it needs to implement wearable computing-ready communication into Google Glass and the coming Google smartwatch.

But Apple does not have everything it needs to compete against Google.

Apple is missing two components: Video chat and social networking.

Sure, Apple has Facetime. But Facetime is not a serious offering because it can only be used by the minority of people who have Apple products. Google Hangouts and, say, Skype can be used on all the major platforms and by a majority of users.

FaceTime also suffers from the limitation of being only for one-to-one communication.

So this is one way Apple will change to accommodate wearable computing: They will make FaceTime cross-platform and multi-user. (This is also necessary to compete in the Smart TV business.)

I don’t believe Apple will make this transformation soon, however, as the iWatch is unlikely to handle video in the first few iterations.

Apple’s biggest gaping hole is that the company doesn’t have a social network.

Google optimizes its wearable computing features — notifications, personal assistance and communication — to be Google+ centric. Google+ is becoming an all-purpose platform for harvesting social signals, posting Glass pictures and videos, doing Hangouts and all the rest.

Apple’s current social networking strategy at present is little more than “anyone but Google.” Apple favors Facebook and Twitter in built-in social networking, which just isn’t going to cut it.

As notifications, personal assistance and communication are unified for the purposes of wearable computing, far too much importance and user data will reside on these external social networks. That data will be necessary for Siri to compete in the virtual assistance arena, too.

And that’s why Apple will build or buy a social network. Twitter is a strong candidate for a buy. But either way, I believe Apple will be getting into the social networking racket soon.

Apple’s iWatch potentially has vastly more consumer appeal than Google Glass, mainly because a wristwatch is far more acceptable to the general public and far easier to make elegant and affordable, than is a head-mounted gadget that beams light into one eye.

But in order to fully realize this idea, Apple’s going to need a cross-platform, multi-user FaceTime and also a social network of its own.

And these transformations will change things for every Apple user, not just the wearable computing people.

 

(Picture courtesy of Tolga Tuncer.)

 

    



Why the iPhone Is Falling Behind

glass

 

Apple haters, Android geeks and misinformed Wall Street analysts will tell you that Apple’s iPhone is falling behind because Apple can’t innovate anymore.

I don’t buy the Apple-doesn’t-innovate BS. Apple is super innovative, and their innovation is focused, disciplined and ultimately results in industry-dominating revenue and profits.

But iPhones are still lacking some of the best innovations out there. This isn’t because Apple can’t innovate. It’s because Apple can’t share. Apple can’t play nice with others. Apple wants to control the user experience, even at the expense of the user.

Apple isn’t open.

This quality used to be a benefit because it prevented the platform from becoming an ugly, confusing, fragmented mess.

But in the past month, Apple’s lack of openness has become a serious problem.

Here’s what I’m talking about.

Android phones have a reputation for customizability. And to a certain extent, they almost require tinkering to optimize the experience.

iPhones, on the other hand, are known for simplicity. Everything just works right out of the box. Apple does this by controlling every aspect of the user experience.

The company pays special attention to what resources apps are allowed to gain access to.

Apple’s aggressive controlling of the user experiences has three major effects:

1. Using an iPhone is the most bullet-proof, elegant and seamless experience in existence.

2. A huge movement to unlock iPhones has emerged in order to get around Apple’s controls.

3. iPhone users who don’t unlock are left behind as the industry innovates in ways that require access to Apple’s locked-down areas of the platform.

This third effect is becoming a serious problem. Instead of being unable to use obscure little apps, users are now being locked out of the major, sweeping, culture-changing trends in mobile computing.

Here are some examples.

Google Now

Google Now for iOS shipped Monday.

It’s no small irony that Google’s breathtakingly awesome Google Now service runs on more iPhones than Android phones — two and a half times as many, according to one estimate.

The Android version works only on Jelly Bean 4.1 or 4.2 plus all future versions of Android, but the majority of Android users are stuck with older versions.

Google could have decided to keep Google Now as an exclusive feature of Android, and thereby motivate millions of iPhone users to switch platforms just to get the service. Yes, it’s that good. Instead, they tried to duplicate the full Google Now feature set on iOS, but were hobbled by Apple’s policy of control.

Unlike on Android, where Google Now is a core part of the user interface, Google Now for iOS has been implemented as a sub-feature of the Google Search app. So Google Now doesn’t interrupt you to alert you with new cards unless you’ve launched the Google Search app.

This corralling of Google Now into an app defeats part of its purpose because interruption is a core benefit.

Another major, one might say magical, quality of Google Now is the ability to read your email and calendar and figure out who you’re interacting with, where you’re going and what you’re doing.

But these work only with Gmail and Google Calendar. Without working with Apple’s alternatives, Google Now is practically useless for people who use those alternatives.

Google Now on Android sees on your calendar that you’re meeting with someone and will actually tell you that you must leave now if you want to be on time. It just jumps out and tells you without you asking. This doesn’t happen on the iOS version.

If you’re going to be late, a button below the map lets you notify that person instantly that you’ll be late. This feature doesn’t exist on the iOS version.

The Android version of Google Now can be used hands-free. You use a “wake command,” and say: “Google!” The app wakes up, ready for another voice command. On the iOS version, you have to launch the app and press the microphone button.

Each of these limitations on the iOS version is by itself a small thing, but they add up to iPhone users missing out on the magic of Google Now.

iPhone users are missing out on the Google Now revolution not because Apple isn’t innovative. It’s because Apple isn’t open.

Facebook Home

Facebook Home is a user interface layer for Android phones that puts Facebook social interaction and content on top of other things on the platform. For example, the lock screen is taken over by fullscreen pictures posted by your Facebook friends. Circular “chat heads” appear on top of whatever Android app you’re using, and persist even as you use the app.

I’m not interested in using Facebook Home and you may not, either. But the point is that a social layer that sits on top of a smartphone OS is a thing, a trend, a paradigm shift in how millions of people will use their phones.

I’m sure Facebook would love to offer Home for iOS for those users who choose it. But Apple would never allow that.

As a result, Facebook has added Chat Heads to their iOS app, but like the iOS version of Google now, this limited feature set is corralled inside the app.

iPhone users are missing out on the Facebook Home revolution not because Apple doesn’t innovate but because Apple isn’t open.

Google Glass

Google Glass is Google’s main wearable computing project. It sits on the right side of your face and head, and beams a screen into your right eye. A touchpad built into the side enables control. And voice commands and even eye blinking is another way to control Glass.

Google Glass will be intimately integrated with Google Now, Google+, YouTube and other Google Services.

We learned this week that Glass will will get an iOS app to facilitate messaging and other features via iPhones. However, unlike the tight integration Glass will likely have with Android phones, the iOS app will mainly just give Glass access to the iPhone’s GPS data and Internet connection.

The real magic will occur when companies design Android apps to work with cloud-based Glass apps to do a bazillion currently unpredictable things — and iPhone users will almost certainly be left out of all of that.

These are just three examples of huge, culture-shifting developments in technology that iPhone users will be left out of.

It’s not about Now, Home and Glass. It’s about proactive and knowing artificial intelligence assistants, social media smartphone layers and wearable technology. These are the giant shifts that Apple users will be watching from the sidelines.

Sure, Apple will continue to work on Siri, integration with other social networks and probably an iWatch as alternatives. But these will always be second-rate alternatives.

And for you Apple fanboys who say that Google Now, Facebook Home and Google Glass are lame technologies for suckers, airheads and dorks, respectively, — and for those of you who believe that jailbreaking will solve all these problems — your argument is invalid. It’s not about you. It’s about what real people really want to do in real life.

Apple is falling behind. And it’s not because Apple isn’t innovative. In fact, even if Apple is more innovative than any other company, they cannot be more innovative than every other company.

That wasn’t a problem when obscure apps and features popped up here and there on other platforms. But now huge technologies are leaving the station, and Apple isn’t on board.

    



Why the ‘i’ in iPhone Will Stand For ‘Identity’

iphone3

The “i” in the next iPhone will stand for “identity.”

When people hear rumors and read about Apple’s patents for NFC, they think: “Oh, good, the iPhone will be a digital wallet.”

When they hear rumors about fingerprint scanning and remember that Apple bought the leading maker of such scanners, they think: “Oh, good, the iPhone will be more secure.”

But nobody is thinking different about this combination. Everybody is thinking way too small.

I believe Apple sees the NFC chip and fingerprint scanner as part of a Grand Strategy: To use the iPhone as the solution to the digital identity problem.

NFC plus biometric security plus bullet-proof encryption deployed at iPhone-scale adds up to the death of passwords, credit cards, security badges, identity theft and waiting in line.

Apple loves to solve huge, hitherto unsolved problems. And there is no problem bigger from a lost-opportunity perspective than digital identity.

The Boston Consulting Group estimates that the total value created through real digital identity is $1 trillion by 2020 in Europe alone.

(I’ll give you a moment to purge the mental image of Dr. Evil raising pinky to lips and arching one eyebrow.)

The report details how simply knowing for sure who people are when they’re online transforms entire economies.

The Wikipedia entry on digital identity zeros in on the opportunity for Apple:

“Currently there are no ways to precisely determine the identity of a person in digital space. Even though there are attributes associated to a person’s digital identity, these attributes or even identities can be changed, masked or dumped and new ones created. Despite the fact that there are many authentication systems and digital identifiers that try to address these problems, there is still a need for a unified and verified identification system in cyberspace. Thus, there are issues of privacy and security related to digital identity.”

The biggest barrier to digital identity nirvana is that prior solutions are either too complex or too privacy invading for consumers to accept.

And that’s why all the major Silicon Valley companies are desperately trying to solve this gigantic problem.

Why Facebook and Google+ Are All About Identity

While users view social networks as a way to stay in touch with family and friends and get socially selected streams of content, the companies that make social networks view them as elaborate schemes to solve the identity problem.

In fact, Google honcho Eric Schmidt came right out and said it: “Google+ was created primarily as an identity service.”

And Om Malik nailed it when he said: “The real power of Facebook lies in controlling connected identity.”

Both Google and Facebook made big pushes to turn their social networks into solid identity services. And both those attempts have largely failed so far.

Google+ came on strong with an initial demand that users use their “real name.” After a colossal backlash, Google backed off and their policy is currently in limbo. The other problem is the impossibility of verifying identity at scale. How do you know if Rusty Pipes, who just registered for a Google+ account, is really who he says he is?

Facebook made an even nuttier attempt at verifying, asking users to actually scan their passports and other government-issued photo ID and send the images to Facebook over the public Internet in an ill-conceived trial. The scheme was so nutty many people thought it was a hoax.

Also: Both Facebook and more recently Google are making big plays to become the de-facto means by which you can sign on to millions of sites on the Internet.

Google’s Google+ Sign-In now competes directly against Facebook Connect.

Establishing one’s company as the de facto digital identity layer is the single biggest business opportunity in history. Any company that acquires this status could become the world’s credit card, the world’s gate keeper to all transactions and the world’s main source of digital security in all its myriad forms.

I think Apple can succeed where the social networks failed.

The reason is that Apple has a better deal for users. The social network proposed both a small stick and a small carrot: Use one account and use your real name because then everything is better. That approach failed.

Apple’s proposition is much better: Use the Identity iPhone, and stop keying in passwords, credit card numbers, billing information and more. As you cruise through the Internet, all the doors will open for you and you can securely use and buy and access anything you want without any work.

How Apple Will Use the Identity iPhone

Once you’ve associated your actual fingerprint with your iPhone, your iPhone becomes you — better than a photo ID, better than a signature, better than a password.

Today, a swipe of the finger on an iPhone conjures up the 4-digit passcode lock. If you spend some quality time with the Passcode Lock page in Settings, you can see that you have an option to turn it on or off, require it immediately or after one, five or fifteen minutes or after one or four hours. It also allows you to access or not access Passbook and the ability to reply to a message when the phone is locked.

All those settings may be identical to the fingerprint scanning feature of the next iPhone.

In other words, fingerprint scanning will be both optional and highly configurable.

I do not believe Apple will allow the old passcode as an alternative, because that’s not how Apple rolls. They’ll want to firmly encourage users to embrace and accept password authentication.

I believe Apple intends to build both NFC and fingerprint readers into iMacs and iPads.

When you set your iPhone next to the keyboard of your iMac, all your online activity will identity you to various sites, which means that you’ll have an “E-Z Pass” right through password dialogs and credit card pages. You’ll just be able to log in as you and buy stuff without typing anything.

The same thing will happen when you set your iPhone next to somebody else’s iMac, too.

Or, you can swipe your finger on the reader built into the keyboard.

In the Real World, you’ll be able to authenticate purchases either via Bluetooth or NFC, skipping the line at the movie theater, department store and gas station. You’ll be billed, and be able to pay for your restaurant meal without the waiter’s involvement. (Letting a stranger take your credit card out of your sight is one of the weakest links in the way commerce works right now.)

I know, I know. This is all the generic promise of NFC and digital wallet technology, which has been around for years but which has failed to gain mainstream acceptance, for the most part.

But remember: This is Apple we’re talking about, the world’s great creator of markets. This is the company that single-handledly created the digital music market, the digital media player market, the multi-touch smartphone market and the touch-tablet market.

When Apple does something like this, they’re capable of creating the house that everybody lives in.

And that, I believe, is what Apple is going to do with the next iPhone. By combining NFC with fingerprint scanning, plus very consumer-friendly and highly secure software and network solutions, Apple is going to make the “i” in iPhone mean “identity.”

Can Apple succeed with digital identity where others have failed?

    



It’s Time to Kill the ‘Apple Doesn’t Innovate’ Argument

innovation

There’s an argument in the platform wars, and also on Wall Street, that goes something like this: “Apple doesn’t innovate anymore. It moves too slowly, and is being taken over by more nimble, more innovative rivals.”

Any success Apple has is the result of slick marketing, rather than the newest technology. But now, Apple is a laggard and is being overtaken by more nimble companies.

Apple has an “innovation problem,” according to Forbes.

Samsung is innovating faster than Apple,” according to Piper Jaffray’s Gene Munster.

Why Doesn’t Apple Innovate?” asks CEO.com.

For Apple haters, this argument feels good to make. Unfortunately, it fails the test of fact and reason. Here’s why.

Vision means you don’t try whatever to find out what works

Samsung’s Galaxy S4 is a good example of a product considered more innovative than Apple’s competing iPhone 5.

The S4 has “Smart Pause,” “Air Gesture,” dual-camera mode, a photo “eraser” feature, a health and fitness tracker, “smart scroll,” and something called Sound and Shot for adding sound to pictures.

Plus, the S4 has a much bigger screen, NFC support, a higher pixel-density camera and a more advanced chipset than the iPhone 5.

Does all this — does any of this — mean Samsung is more innovative?

“Smart Pause” and “Air Gesture” don’t strike me as bold new directions in user interface design, but mere gimmicks that most people will either ignore or turn off. They separate the user from direct control, and are likely to be frustrating to use for most people. Is anybody loving these? I haven’t heard anyone gushing about them on social media. It seems to me that Samsung threw these ideas in there just so they’d have something to demo and convince the gullible that they’re more advanced than the competition.

The dual-camera mode, where an image from the front camera is placed in a box on the picture from the back camera, the photo eraser, the health-and-fitness tracker and “smart scroll” are just more feature gimmicks that should be or in some cases already have been added by many apps available in the App Store. I personally use the eraser feature and “smart scroll” in long-existing apps. They’re really no big deal.

“Sound and shot” is yet another thing you’d expect to find in some free app nobody uses. Is this taking the world by storm as is, say, Vine? The answer is no.

I don’t think anyone believes Apple doesn’t have the technological capability to make a bigger-screen iPhone or add NFC chips. Obviously they can do it. They’ve chosen not to yet. They’ve made a judgement call. Does deciding that the ability for people with smaller hands to hold a phone and deciding the market or the services aren’t ready yet for NFC mean Apple isn’t innovative? Or does it just mean they’ve made a decision some people (but not the market) disagree with?

And finally, you would expect a newer chipset to come out on a newer phone. The Galaxy S4 is six months newer than the iPhone 5.

When iPhones first ship, they tend to have much higher benchmark performance than all or nearly all the competition. Does shipping 6 months after the iPhone make Samsung more innovative?

I think any honest observer would have to admit that Apple is certainly capable of slapping on feature gimmicks and somewhat arbitrary new interface alternatives, but that they chose not to. Their strategy is to ship one best phone, and it has to serve everybody out of the box, enabling users to add gimmicky features with downloadable apps.

You can disagree with that strategy, and believe that Apple would be better off using the Samsung model of selling dozens of phones to target every narrow niche. But that disagreement doesn’t mean Apple isn’t innovative.

The so-called “innovative companies” are the biggest Apple fans. 

The Apple-doesn’t-innovate crowd often holds up companies like Google or Samsung as companies with superior innovation.

Yes, Google and Samsung are both very good companies with wonderful cultures and histories of innovation.

But innovation is not an end in itself. It’s a means to an end. The goal of innovation should be to create better products, superior designs and superior usability.

It’s worth noting that both Google and Samsung engineers and designers are huge fans of Apple’s designs and usability.

Any conference or meeting where Google engineers, designers and executives congregate reveals a very strong preference for Apple laptops, for example.

That’s not because Apple products are more innovative or less innovative. It’s because Apple products are very good products.

An internal Samsung memo that surfaced in a mutual patent lawsuit between Samsung and Apple revealed that Samsung was in awe of Apple’s interface design — similar to the “difference between heaven and earth.” The memo then slogged screen-by-screen through the iPhone UI and Samsung’s at the time, pointing out the superiority of Apple’s approach to user interface.

Some observers called this evidence that Samsung copied Apple. But that’s not true. It is, however, evidence that Samsung was internally very impressed by Apple’s design decisions.

Is that innovation? Or is Apple really good at interface design?

Apple executes on vision, then try to perfect it. 

What passes for innovation by many companies is just throwing every new technology they can into their products. Is that “better”? Is that “innovation”?

Apple’s approach has for years been very easy to understand. Here’s how they go about product development:

1. Find content consumption experiences that are seriously lacking and which Apple is interested in fixing.

2. Wait until the market is ripe for the new approach, then unveil a bold new product that offers simplicity, extremely high usability and aesthetic beauty.

3. Design and spec that product for maximum broad consumer appeal, then very clearly convey the benefits with emotional advertising.

4. This approach doesn’t ever invent the product — Apple’s patents tend to involve unique methods of doing things and unique designs — but it does create the market by getting a critical mass of consumers to embrace the new thing, a feat that’s very hard to do and which major companies routinely fail at doing. (Once the market is created, then other companies flood in to take advantage.)

5. Continue through multiple product generations to not take the product into random or technology-driven directions, but to refine and perfect the original vision.

This is the basic process Apple used for iPod, iPhone, iPad, MacBook Air, iMac, and other Apple products, and which they’ll probably use for the rumored iWatch and iTV and other future products.

In the two year period after the iPod, iPhone, iPad or whatever ships, everyone says Apple is innovative. In the years of iteratively perfecting the vision, everybody says Apple is not innovative. Then Apple comes out with the next market-creating product, and then they’re innovative again.

The degree to which Apple is or is not considered innovative has nothing to do with innovation, but with what point in the product lifecycle Apple happens to be in.

One Last Commentary On Apple and Innovation

It’s fun to be a technology fan and argue about who’s got the better stuff — and why. I certainly enjoy it.

And it’s perfectly legitimate to prefer, say, Google’s approach to platform ecosystem cultivation or Samsung’s approach to serving the market with smartphones and other products.

But it’s time to retire the tired, irrational “Apple doesn’t innovate” line.

Apple clearly innovates, and they do so very selectively and with enormous purpose and vision. They have a create-new-market-then-perfect-on-the-vision approach that, while it leaves them open to being called less than innovative, it also works better — far better — than any other model out there from a business perspective.

Apple could easily throw arbitrary new ideas into its products, and develop complex product lines to narrowly target every niche. But why? So haters would call them innovative?

Companies don’t exist to cultivate a reputation for innovation. They exist to make money.

That Apple alone makes more than 70% of the industry profits is undeniable proof that Apple is doing innovation right.

    



What Will Apple Use Flexible Displays For? Everything!

willowglass

Apple is working on the use of flexible-glass touch displays. Which products will Apple use flexible displays in?

The answer is: all of them.

When people think about flexible displays, they think about small-screen gadgets like iWatches and curved-glass iPhones. What most don’t realize is that flexible displays can bring some amazing benefits to a device, even if the display itself isn’t curved.

And Apple has patents on all of it.

Here’s how Apple might deploy flexible displays to transform every product they make.

The Job

Apple posted a job listing, which it took down after about a week and a half, for a senior optical engineer to “lead the investigation on emerging display technologies” including “flexible displays” to improve “optical performance.”

Whenever a ginormous company like Apple posts a job listing that appears to seek one specialized employee, the reality is that they’re simply calling for a truckload of resumes. From that long list of applicants, they can hire all kinds of people.

(Besides, we already know the job listing is lying: They specify hours as 40 per week. That’s closer to how much they’ll be working each weekend.)

What we don’t see is that Apple is almost certainly relying on headhunters for the head of their projects and engineering teams. A public job listing is more useful for staffing jobs reporting to the engineering role specified in the listing.

The point is: Don’t be fooled by this ad. Apple has a massive effort that is already working very hard on developing and using display technologies for every major product line they make.

Here’s what Apple could do with tomorrow’s flexible display technology.

Better Desktops

How do you improve the iMac? It’s sleek, elegant, thin, brilliant and beautiful. Sure, you can later up the processor, memory and storage capacity. But how do you make it jaw-droppingly better?

You triple the screen size. But how?

If you’ve got a 27-inch iMac, you know that the screen is already a little too big in one respect: If you want to look at something onscreen near one side, then the other, you need to lean from one side to the other and crane your neck to see it. Otherwise, you’re looking at the screen at an angle.

Desktop monitors like the 27-inch iMac are pushing the limits of straight-on visibility.

By using flexible display technology, I believe Apple will build wrap-around iMacs that could be about 30 inches high and four or five feet across, curving around in a semi circle so that the middle is about the same distance from your face as the edges.

Monitors more or less like this already exist, but they use shitty projection technology. Flexible displays will enable brilliant screens like today’s iMacs, but curved.

There are also some interesting opportunities for true all-in-ones, where the touchpad and keyboard are virtual, and just part of the screen. Imagine a very large monitor where about 9 inches to a foot of the bottom of the screen was flat or nearly flat against the desk, then gradually curved up at an angle.

This idea was envisioned nicely with a pencil sketch posted on a MacRumors forum last year.

A clunky but functioning prototype variant of this idea called the BendDesk was nailed together a few years ago.

These are both rough, incomplete ideas, but Apple designers could make a wonderful all-in-one with this approach, combining touch displays and flexible display technology.

Better Phones and Tablets

Flexible displays could dramatically improve future iPhones and iPads. And not just in the ways some Apple patents imagine.

For starters, they could end one of Apple’s biggest tech support cost — cracked screens. Flexible glass feels like glass but bends like plastic under stress.

Another advantage of flexible displays is the possibility of building a screen that doubles as a woofer. Right now, the tiny speakers built into iPhones and iPads are sophisticated, but their size prevents them from producing rich sounds. By building speakers behind or as part of the screen, the entire front of a phone or iPad could pump out bass, while the little speakers could produce stereo tweeter sounds.

It’s also possible that flexible glass displays could enable edge-to-edge displays — and beyond.

What’s beyond the edge? The perpendicular edge. Right now, the sides of an iPhone or iPad have physical buttons. These could be replaced with virtual buttons on a screen that wraps around the outer edge of the device. The advantage is that buttons could change depending on whatever app is running.

Flexible display technology could be used for accessories, such as really cool smart covers.

Future displays (we’re talking 10 years out) could have physical buttons that rise right out of the screen — again, app-determined.

Hybrid Gadgets

Flexible displays could also bring about elegant hybrid devices.

Any mobile gadget struggle with a trade-off between the desire to make it small for mobility and large for usability. So imagine an iPhone where both the front and the back are part of one continuous flexible display. You could use it as a standard iPhone, but then open it out to more than double the screen real estate and turn it into a tablet.

In that configuration, the screen would be on the outside of the device.

Another version could have the screen on the inside of the fold. So it can be closed like a laptop, with the screen protected from the elements. Then you open it like a laptop, or keep going and open it all the way up into a very big-screen touch tablet. When in laptop mode, the bottom screen would function as an on-screen keyboard and touchpad.

A prototype One Laptop Per Child mock-up flirted with this idea (but not with flexible screens), so you can see how usable this could be if designed by Apple using flexible display technology.

Oh, and Apple might even make a flexible-screen iWatch. Don’t know if you heard about that.

Think about how extremely Apple has evolved its devices over the years. (And ignore the baloney about how Apple doesn’t innovate anymore — people always say that right before Apple changes whole industries with radical new directions).

Apple’s first real PC (The Apple II) looked like an old-timey cash register.

The Apple III looked like grandma’s TV sitting on grandpa’s Selectric typewriter.

The first Macintosh series looked like a toaster.

The first iMac looked like a giant, fruity alien space helmet.

The iMac G4 looked like a lamp.

And, of course, the current iMac looks like a sheet of glass.

Every few years, Apple utterly transforms the shape of its desktops. We can expect the same from its phones and tablets.

Every conceivable scenario points to the use of flexible display technology to morph and transform Apple’s devices.

Apple knows that, and that’s why they have patents that cover all the possibilities.

I think flexible display technology will form the bendy foundation of all Apple’s future products.

    



How Facebook Home Screws Apple

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How low will Apple go?

First, Apple CEO Tim Cook was forced to grovel and kowtow to the Chinese Communist Party over their obviously false and politically motivated claims about Apple’s warranty.

Now, Apple is being publicly insulted and used by Facebook.

There is no way Steve Jobs would have put up with this kind of humiliating abuse.

Here’s what’s going on.

Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg announced this week new Android software called Facebook Home. 

To oversimplify, Facebook Home is a layer that sits on top of Android which favors Facebook pictures and messages over all other uses of the phone.

Facebook Home becomes available April 12 for download, and will run on some of the newer Samsung and HTC phones. It will eventually come pre-installed on a bunch of Android phones. Over time, it may function on the majority of global Android handsets counted in the hundreds of millions.

The two most conspicuous features are “Cover Feed,” which is a full-screen, swipeable view of pictures sent on Facebook, and “Chat Heads,” which are the profile pictures of Facebook friends that live in movable circles on top of whatever Android app you’re using. When that person says something, you can chat on a layer over the application.

Let’s look at the big picture here.

Who’s Got the Upper Hand?

The phrase “upper hand” comes from informal neighborhood baseball games.

To decide which team gets to pick who bats first, one guy tosses a baseball bat to another, who grips it where he caught it. Then the tosser grips just above the catcher’s fist, then the catcher grips and so on right up the bat. Whoever ends up laying his hand palm-down on the top of the bat gets to pick — he has the upper hand.

That’s exactly the game everyone in the industry has been playing since the mobile phone has been invented. Carriers, handset makers, mobile OS makers, application developers and others have been using the upper hand system to see who ends up on top and in control of the game.

When Apple came along, carriers had the upper hand. They intended to monetize mobile contracts by selling ringtones, apps and services.

Apple forced carriers to accept a different proposal. Carriers got to make phone and mobil data revenue from the iPhone, and in exchange for that privilege, Apple is the one who gets to sell and control the content. Apple gained the upper hand right from the start, and still has it.

Then Google copied the Apple model, and now the two companies each have the upper hand on their respective platforms.

Except lately Google has been losing it. First, Amazon gained the upper hand with it’s Kindle Fire products. Now, Facebook has gained it with Facebook Home.

By asserting itself as the main interface on Android phones, Facebook gets to decide the default choices for which messaging systems to use (Facebook’s), which photo galleries to use (Facebook’s) and eventually which search engine to use (Facebook’s partner Microsoft), which advertising to display (Facebook’s) and which apps and games to favor (Facebook’s).

Google is losing the upper hand on Android as the price for being open.

There’s no way Apple would ever lose the upper hand and allow even a partner like Facebook to control the user experience on iOS.

How Facebook Home Affects Apple

Everybody’s attention these days is riveted on their phones. And whoever controls what people see when they look at those phones has access to the most powerful business on earth. Phones direct us to advertising and to electronic content.

From a business and platform perspective, Facebook Home is by far the best idea Facebook has ever had.

It gives Facebook the upper hand on the Android phones it’s installed on, and drives up usage, user data available for harvesting and ad exposures. It’s all good for Facebook, as long as Facebook users are using Android phones.

So how is this bad for Apple?

To date, Apple has probably sold more than 500 million iOS device. That’s about half the size of Facebook’s user base. (The actual numbers of users of both iOS and Facebook are probably significantly lower than published numbers.)

Apple’s user base constitutes the most lucrative market in mobile by far. Two data points bear this out: app revenue and online usage. Current Apple users are the ones companies — say, Facebook, for example — wants to advertise to simply because as a group they do more and spend more.

Apple has tremendous power in directing its relatively deep-pocketed, active-using user base toward or away from any social network it chooses by way of integration.

For example, when you take a picture on an iPhone, and click the mini icon showing a box with an arrow pointing out, Apple lets you share via Mail, iMessage, Twitter or Facebook. There are similar integrations on other apps.

Apple does not offer to let you share via the #2 social network, Google+, or Pinterest, Tumblr, Linkedin or Pheed.

Mail and iMessage are Apple’s. But Apple has anointed Twitter and Facebook as the social sites to receive the massive advantage of being the default, built-in sharing services in every iPhone, iPod Touch and iPad.

This amounts to a massive promotion by Apple of Twitter and Facebook and a huge advantage for those companies.

But while Apple has been promoting the use of Facebook, now Facebook is promoting the use of Android.

People who have become enamored of Facebook now have a very good reason to switch from iPhone to Android in order to get Facebook Home.

Everyday users shopping for phones may now find themselves torn between Apple loyalty and Facebook loyalty. It used to be easy: Just get an iPhone and run Facebook’s app, which was the same on iOS and Android.

But now, some unknown number of Facebook fans will choose their family and friends (via Facebook Home) over Apple. And that choice leads them to Android.

Zuckerberg was also subtly insulting to Apple in the announcement. He said, in a nutshell, that the 30-year-old “UI model” of browsing icons, then opening applications from those icons — you know, like on the iPhone and the iPad — “is actually largely the same.”

Facebook Home with its “Cover Feed” was created to bring the “UI model” into the present day, rather than being stuck in the past like the iPhone is.

And it was built with major input from engineers poached from Apple.

Facebook is playing Apple, big time.

The only major company Facebook is really loyal to is Apple’s competitor, Microsoft, which owns a percentage of Facebook, and whose Bing and Skype technologies complete Facebook’s feature set.

In the announcement, Zuckerberg pointed out that the Home initiative involved partnerships with Apple’s biggest competitors, besides Google itself, including Samsung, HTC, Huawei, ZTE, Lenovo and others. Expect a lot of mutual ass-kissing, back-scratching and favor-doing between Facebook and Apple’s competitors.

More to the point, Facebook Home is about training users to embrace Facebook Messages, a direct competitor to iMessage.

Apple’s willingness to favor and advantage a company that is playing favorites with Apple’s competition may be yet another example of how Apple’s obsession with competing against Google is hurting Apple. Facebook Home is obviously a slap in Apple’s face, but it may be acceptable to Apple because it’s also a punch in Google’s mouth.

Will Apple keep driving users to Facebook so that Facebook can drive them to Android?

Time will tell.

I’m not suggesting that Apple should declare thermonuclear war on Facebook. But at least stop favoring them in the apps.

What would Steve do?

    



Why Apple’s China Disaster Is Worse Than You Think

china

The worst thing that could possibly happen to Apple has now happened: The company has run afoul of the authoritarian government of China. 

Gatekeepers of the world’s largest and one of the fastest growing markets for every product Apple makes, the Chinese Communist Party-controlled government has decided to stop and reverse Apple’s growth in the country.

Here’s what’s going on.

Cult of Mac was the first blog or publication to suggest that recent press attacks against Apple could indicate a larger campaign by China’s government to “screw” Apple

That piece two weeks ago was based on a blistering report on CCTV, the world’s largest TV network, and one that happens to be owned and controlled by the Chinese government. In the report, Apple was singled out for discriminating against Chinese customers with both its iPhone replacement policy and its one-year warranty.

(In fact, Apple’s policies in China are identical to those in the United States.)

The government OR CCTV were even caught orchestrating a campaign to get prominent celebrities to bash Apple on Chinese social media.

Then, China’s People’s Daily newspaper, which is the world’s biggest “commie rag” (literally the official newspaper of the Chinese Communist Party), with a circulation of nearly 4 million, published a front-page hit piece on Apple headlined “Defeat Apple’s Incomparable Arrogance,” slamming the company for its “empty and self-praising” response to the CCTV piece.  

Both those articles were light on substance and fast and loose with the facts, but both specifically tried to paint Apple as a company deliberately singling out Chinese customers for ill treatment. The aim of both reports was to seriously damage Apple’s reputation and get the Chinese public against Apple.

This week, China’s State Administration for Industry and Commerce, claiming to be responding to “widespread reports” that Apple’s warranty is “hurting” Chinese customers, called for “subordinate agencies all across China” to crack down on Apple. Then, China’s General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine ordered Apple to double its warranty to two years.

Now, a Chinese film studio, called the Disney of China, and which was the first known studio founded by a Communist party, according to the Wikipedia entry, is suing Apple because it claims Apple has been selling pirated copies of its animated films on iTunes.

This is all very bad news. China is already the company’s second biggest market, and it has just begun to make inroads there. Much of Apple’s soaring stock valuation in recent years has been based in part on an expectation of massive growth in China.

But, as Business Insider put it, “It might be time to start dialing back expectations for Apple in China.”

And if you’re going to lower expectations for Apple in China, you have to lower them for Apple as a company.

What’s Coming Next

So far, China’s Apple fans are siding with Apple and slamming the Chinese government for a clumsy, obvious campaign to harm Apple’s business in the country.

But that’s not going to help in the long run. Apple’s growth depends entirely on people who are not currently fans.

And the Chinese government still has many ways to block and harass and abuse Apple.

Chinese courts are not independent, as they are in, say, the United States, but controlled by the Chinese Communist Party and the Chinese government. They are notoriously responsive to initiatives by the central government.

Apple faces, and may increasingly face (now that rivals in China will sense new opportunities for victory in the courts), all kinds of patent, copyright and trademark lawsuits.

Apple is currently facing several patent, trademark and copyright suits in China, including one company that seeks to have Siri banned in China because they claim to have invented it, and another against Siri from a university. Both are pending.

What if Chinese courts actually make Siri illegal in China? 

Apple is even being sued by a detergent company that makes a laundry detergent called Snow Leopard, which is also still pending.

Beyond lawsuits, Apple may no longer find itself under the protection of Chinese government agencies in the future.

Remember when the Chinese government shut down 22 fake Apple Stores? That action was taken by the very organization that is now calling for a crackdown against Apple. Future fake Apple stores may be allowed to grow and thrive.

They might even sell fake Apple products, such as the brand-new iPhone 5S clone.

Why the Chinese Government is Suppressing Apple

There have been many theories published about why the Chinese government is attacking Apple.

My own theory is that abusing and suppressing Apple solves many problems by the Chinese government.

For starters, Chinese companies like Huawei and ZTE are on the rise in a major way internationally, as well as inside China. Both these companies are closely aligned with the Chinese government. By knocking down Apple, the Chinese government makes life easier for domestic rivals.

Second, Apple is revered in China by many fans. The Chinese government has historically attacked foreign influences when they got too popular in China.

Third, the Chinese government has no doubt been looking for a way to retaliate against the US government, which banned the purchase of Huawei and ZTE networking equipment, citing close ties to the Chinese government and military and a threat of espionage through that equipment. Targeting Apple both hurts America and also helps the very companies that were harmed by the Congressional mandate.

Whatever the reason, it has become clear that the Chinese government intends to hurt Apple’s business in China. They certainly have the power to do it.

And that changes everything for Apple’s longterm future.

(Picture courtesy of Global Post.)




Why the Apple iWatch Will Have These 6 Killer Features

iwatchconcept

 

We learned this week that Google, Samsung and LG are all planning smartwatches. 

Sony, Pebble, Cookoo, I’m Smart, MetaWatch and Martian already have pretty sophisticated smartwatches available, all of which interoperate with the iPhone.

You can be sure that 100 Chinese companies will make inexpensive smartwatches that support either the iPhone or Android or both.

And, of course, Apple is rumored to be working on a curved-glass “iWatch.”

Here’s why I believe Apple’s smartwatch will have a market advantage.

(Dear critic: I know you’re tempted to slam this column because I’m predicting that a product that doesn’t exist will beat other products that don’t exist. Please note, however, that all six features are based very solidly on what Apple has and does right now in real life and is not based on pie-in-the-sky wishful thinking.) 

Custom Haptics

I believe the usage model for smartwatches will be very different from smartphones.

Traditionally, wristwatches were used for telling the time — a one-second interaction. I think smartwatches will also favor one-second interactions, and lots of them.

Someone sends you a text or posts a picture on Facebook, you’ll get calendar meeting alerts and other standard types of incoming information, and they will flash on the watch.

A future, more pre-emptive and proactive Siri will nudge you about all kinds of random things: “You’re near the cleaners — pick up your laundry,” or “Do you want me to remind Steve about your meeting?” I expect us active users to be glancing at our iWatches 10 times an hour during the day to keep up on one-second messages of all kinds.

It makes sense that the iWatch will gently interrupt you constantly. But how?

Beeps are annoying and public. I believe haptics will be the main way that the iWatch will say, in effect: “Hey, look!”

Haptics are the buzzes and rumbles of physical motion you feel when your phone is on vibrate or what you feel in the controller when you play Call of Duty on Xbox and someone tosses a grenade into your bunker.

Apple has been quietly integrating custom haptics into the iPhone user interface for years. The feature lets you tap out your own pattern of vibrations, then assign a unique, custom pattern for each contact, if you choose.

In iOS 5, custom haptics was an “Accessibility” feature. In iOS 6, Apple baked it directly into the Contacts app. (Open any contact, tap Edit, tap “vibration,” scroll down and tape “Create New Vibration” under Custom.)

Hardly anyone uses this feature, and why would they? With a phone, you never really know if you’ll “feel” the buzzing. And even if you can feel some buzzing, an iPhone in your pocket isn’t solidly connected enough to your skin for you to recognize subtle custom vibrations.

But with a wristwatch, which is tightly bound to your wrist and in direct contact with your skin, you will always feel haptics.

I believe Apple will enable custom haptics for the iWatch. You’ll be able to set up custom vibration patterns for specific people and/or specific types of information, so you won’t even need to look at the watch to get some kinds of messages.

You can also be given enough information by buzzing to make a decision even to look at the watch or not look. For example, you’ll have a specific pattern of buzzes for incoming text messages and another pattern when someone in your “Close Friends” group on Facebook posts a status update. If you’re in a meeting with your boss, you might choose to check the iWatch to see the incoming text, but ignore the status update.

Send To

The boundaries between devices are breaking down. If you have other Apple hardware, such as an iPhone, iPad, MacBook Pro, iMac or Apple TV, you’ll be able to see incoming stuff, then quickly toss it over to another nearby device with a simple command. For example, someone may post a picture on Facebook. You’ll see it thumbnail size on the iWatch, and with a voice command instantly put it up on your iMac or TV.

This will be a market advantage only to users who also have other Apple products, but which is a potential market of hundreds of millions of people.

iTunes

Apple has sold a semi-smart watch before. It was called the iPod nano, and the wristband was sold separately by third-party companies in Apple Stores and elsewhere. (Apple did make available custom apps and watch faces, including a Mickey Mouse watch face.)

Note that I say that was a semi-smart watch because while it ran apps, it didn’t have a third-party app ecosystem or connect to the Internet.

In any event, the nano wristwatch was primarily a content consumption device. You plugged your Apple earbuds into it and listened to your iTunes music.

I believe Apple’s future iWatch will take it a step further, and enable you to tap into iTunes wirelessly, and listen wirelessly via Bluetooth earbuds. I believe this because Apple is quietly obsessed with Bluetooth 4.0. The iPhone was the first phone ever to get the new technology, and every Apple product since last year ships with Bluetooth 4.0 support.

You’ll be able to listen to your music, podcasts, audiobooks and iTunes U lectures. After synching with iTunes, you’ll be able to do this at the gym or while running when you don’t have your iPhone with you.

Exclusive Nike Support

Apple has a “special relationship” with Nike, especially when it comes to the wrist. The nano “wristwatch” had a Nike app. Apple CEO Tim Cook is on the Nike board of directors. And Cook also wears a Nike FuelBand wristwatch, presumably every day.

It’s also well known that people use Apple products for fitness more than any other brand of gadget by far. People buy third-party accessories to lash iPhones and iPods to their arms and other appendages, and listen to music, etc., while running, working out, hiking or whatever. They also use third-party fitness apps and accessories to monitor performance.

The wrist will be the perfect location for a fitness computer, and Apple is likely to give Nike a prominent place in the pantheon of default apps on the device, as well as a head start on accessories. In exchange, Nike is likely to remain faithful and exclusive to Apple.

Notification Center

If the Notification Center is appealing and useful on iOS and OS X it will be massively so on the iWatch.

A rational feature would be for the iWatch Notification Center to replace, rather than duplicate, iOS and OS X notifications. By simply detecting the presence of an iWatch connected via Bluetooth, Notification Center messages would appear on the watch instead of the other device, keeping those screens free from clutter and interruptions.

Female Friendliness

The single most killer feature of the iWatch from a market dominance point of view may be female friendliness.

No, I’m not being sexist. The undeniable fact is that women overwhelmingly choose smaller, thinner and lighter wristwatches than those normally chosen by men.

I predict that most of the smartwatches coming out from Google, Samsung, LG and others will be somewhat like the current generation in their bulkiness.

However, Apple’s market savvy and two-part obsessions with both having at launch the thinnest device in every category (iPhone 5, MacBook Air, iMac, etc.) plus Apple’s obsession with curved glass (Steve Jobs said Apple’s new “spaceship” headquarters will not have a single pane of flat glass) — not to mention Apple’s affinity for the Nike FuelBand, which is small, narrow, light, curved and thin — will result in Apple cornering the market for women who choose to wear smartwatches in the first two or three years after they ship.

It’s time for the smartwatch revolution. And Apple happens to be ideally positioned to rule this fledgling market like they did the touch tablet market. And they’ll do it with these 6 killer features.

 

Product concept image courtesy of Esben Oxholm




Is China Trying to Screw Apple?

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Chinese actor and singer Peter Ho criticized Apple on China’s Twitter-like Weibo service this week. 

But don’t blame Ho. He was apparently just following orders. But orders from whom? And why?

Ho posted:

“Cannot believe Apple is playing so many dirty tricks in customer service. As an Apple fan, I feel hurt. Won’t you [Apple] feel ashamed in front of Steve Jobs? Won’t you feel ashamed in front of those young people who sell their kidneys for your products? You dare to bully consumers simply because you are a famous brand. Need to post around 8:20 pm.”

Many Chinese Weibo users said the last sentence — “Need to post around 8:20 pm” — was evidence that Ho didn’t write the tweet himself, but that it was written by someone else and that Ho was being instructed to post it.

The hashtag #PostAround820 went viral on Weibo instantly.

(Ho then pulled an Alicia Keys, and claimed his account had been hacked. Two hours after the first post, Ho wrote: “Someone stole my Weibo account and posted the previous Weibo. Will someone tell me what’s going on? This is ridiculous!”)

The Ho blunder brought attention to the other Chinese celebrities who also immediately slammed Apple after the CCTV report, a group immediately labeled by online critics as the “820 Party.”

What Is CCTV, Really?

China Central Television, abbreviated as CCTV, is run by the Chinese government and, by extension, the Chinese Communist Party, which controls China. Its directors and top executives are appointed by the government and the government pressures the station to provide support for Government policy. It has an audience of 1.2 billion people.

Each year on “Consumer Rights Day,” the station airs a special that slams scams, shoddy business practices and defective products.

This year, Apple, of all companies, was accused of treating Chinese customers worse than those in other countries — a charge clearly intended to trigger a public backlash in China against Apple.

The show’s criticism focused on what it says is Apple’s policy of replacing damaged phones with a new one that has the old phone’s back cover so that the replaced phone isn’t a complete replacement and is therefore still under the original one-year warranty — a policy the report said is exclusive to China. It also said that Apple’s one-year warranty violates Chinese law, which requires two-year warranties.

The general thrust of the story was that Apple singles out Chinese consumers for mistreatment.

Chinese netizens immediately criticized the show and the celebrity posts that supported the show as a coordinated and illegitimate attack on Apple, and many speculated as to its purpose. One leading theory is that the station is trying to blackmail Apple into advertising.

But I wonder if the Chinese government isn’t trying to do to Apple what it did to Google.

What the Chinese Government Did to Google

Google says its Chinese operations were persistently and expertly hacked during the second half of 2009 from inside China. That attack is now known as Operation Aurora.

The conventional wisdom is that Google and dozens of other American companies were hacked either by groups with close ties to the Chinese army or by the Army itself.

Google claims that crackers both stole Google’s intellectual property — possibly related to its search algorithms — and also that the privacy and data of Gmail users was compromised, specifically those of pro-democracy and pro-Tibet advocates.

As a result of the hack, as well as the requirement placed on search engines in China for self-censorship, Google claims, they “left China” — they closed their Beijing office and mainland China version of Google Search.

There were some aspects to the fiasco that represented a general clash between the interests of foreign Western companies and the interests of a single-party authoritarian, Communist Party-controlled state that favors hacking for political suppression and industrial espionage.

But there were other aspects that seemed to single Google out specifically, according to this New York Times report.

According to US Embassy cables published by Wikileaks, the Chinese leadership became increasingly alarmed back then by how much detailed and uncensored information was available via Google searches inside China about individual Chinese leaders, personally. It was part of a larger panic within the Chinese government that the Internet might be uncontrollable.

The Chinese leadership was clearly uncomfortable having a non-evil, non-controllable company like Google freely shoveling information to the Chinese public. It would have been much better for the Chinese search giant Baidu to be China’s leading search engine. And after Google left China, that’s exactly what happened — Baidu went from minority status to 73 percent market share almost overnight.

To radically over-simplify the Google-China crisis of 2009, China appears to have decided that Google was a problem. They harassed, hacked, threatened and squeezed Google until they got what they wanted: No uncensored Google internally; no majority search market share for a foreign company.

As BloombergBusinessweek called it, Baidu is “the search engine that kicked Google’s butt out of China, with an assist from the Communist Party.”

Is Apple next?

And that’s what brings me back to the current weirdness with CCTV and Apple.

First of all, as the official media wing of the Chinese government, CCTV wouldn’t air an Apple takedown without approval from Communist Party honchos. Second, it’s possible that the whole thing was initiated by people within the government.

But why would the Chinese government harass Apple?

First of all, the smart phone is potentially the greatest tool for freedom and democracy movements, and simultaneously the greatest tool for suppressing dissent, tracking dissidents and monitoring the conversations and movements of political troublemakers.

Authoritarian governments do not want to lose control of smartphones.

Like Google, Apple’s success in China is problematic.

It would be much better if a Chinese company dominated — a company like Huawei or ZTE that can be influenced or controlled in a way that benefits the Chinese government.

(A US Congressional report from late last year concluded that networking equipment from Huawei and ZTE should be banned from US government contracts because of the suspiciously close ties both companies have to the Chinese government.)

Second, Apple also draws a persistent spotlight on unsafe and inhumane conditions for factory workers in China generally, even though Foxconn workers have it far better than most in China.

Hypocritical Western human rights and worker rights campaigners don’t seem to care how Huawei factory workers are treated (and if they do, please provide links in the comments to show me serious effort to expose Huawei factory working conditions).

And third, Apple by itself makes most of the profits in the smartphone industry, which is clearly the biggest and most important segment in consumer technology representing dozens of billions of dollars per year. The Chinese government would much prefer that Huawei and ZTE dominate the global market for not only handsets, but handset profits. Now that Huawei and ZTE (and Lenovo and others) are rapidly rising in both market share and hardware sophistication, that goal looks attainable now.

Is the CCTV fiasco evidence of a new initiative by the Chinese government to screw Apple?

I don’t know for sure. If we see further moves by the government and its many organs of state power against Apple, then we might be able to say that.

In the meantime, the CCTV takedown of Apple is a strange new chapter in the long and troubled history of Apple in China, and possibly a harbinger of unpleasant things to come.